年代martphone Indicators provides a view into the sector’s current events through the lens of our monthly & quarterly research reports.
We share proprietary report data to highlight key milestones, emerging trends, growth opportunities and potential pitfalls.
For press inquiries on data use or analyst interviews/quotes, please get in touch direct at press(at)www.arena-ruc.com.
April Report Highlights
Monthly Smartphone OEM Sell-in vs Sell Through Report|April 22
No Zero Sum Game
- Lockdowns from China’s COVID zero policy disrupting logistics and factory output, but key smartphone OEM/ODM factories largely unaffected with production lines running.
- Depressed consumer sentiment, however, is creating risk on the demand side and starting to impact inventories.
- Excessive build up could bring big headaches, especially for some Chinese brands with already high inventories.
- The biggest warning signs flashing at us:
- OurMonthly Smartphone OEM Sell-in vs Sell Through Reportshows China inventories (weeks) at highest ever.
- The latest China consumption indexes declining to 2020 lockdown levels.
- COVID zero policy looks likely to last at least until CCP’s congress sometime in 2H.
Global Foldable Smartphone Market Shipments Forecast (2022-2026): March 2022 Update |April 20
可折叠的主
- When will the foldable smartphone form-factor become mainstream?
- Looking at the share of global foldable smartphone TAM we’re only forecasting 1.1% this year. And it’s likely to remain low-ish single digits through our forecast period.
- 也许更相关的是king which vendor is pivoting fastest to foldable smartphones – and the obvious answer is Samsung.
- But the more interesting one is Apple.
Monthly Market Pulse Flagship Model, February 2022 Edition|April 14
iPhone Results Early Look: Fewer Bargains, More Margins
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- We’re expecting good and bad news for Apple’s Jan-Mar results.
- The bad news is iPhone global volumes could shrink by low single-digits, impacted by a big YoY dip in US demand.
- The good news is the sales mix – more people are buying the latest flagship iPhone 13 than cheaper and older models.
- This adds more fuel to rumours around the company’s possible hardware leasing program. In the US, where the share of new iPhone buyers hit 80% during the period, hardware leasing seems like the next step in lowering iOS flagship ownership barriers well below $799.
- OurMonthly Market Pulse Flagship Model, February 2022 Editionprovides an early look and full iPhone model sell-through breakdowns for the past 12 months, along with coverage of 200+ other key models.
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Global TWS Hearables Market Tracker & Analysis, 2021| April 6
Pump Up the Volumes: 2021 Global TWS (True Wireless Stereo) Hearables Unit Shipments
True Wireless Stereo (TWS) hearables shipments hit a MASSIVE milestone in 2021, reaching 300m units.
- Beats from the East: Asia (ex-China) the biggest regional driver on strong sales in Japan/Korea which helped offset India sluggishness.
- Tougher at the top: TOP 5 brands dipped just below 50% share on leader Apple’s tepid volume growth.
年代outh Korea Smartphone Market Updates 2021| 4月5日
Foldables: $999 Samsung Galaxy Z Flip 3 5G Hits the Sweet Spot With South Korean Consumers
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- The big surprise in South Korea last year was the super successful launch of Samsung’s foldables.
- An extended view of the Samsung Galaxy Z Flip 3’s sales fromour South Korea Smartphone Market Update, 2021, shows exactly how popular they were amongst domestic consumers; over the past few years only the S10 5G and Note 9 reached 1m unit sales faster.
- The uber-premium Samsung Galaxy Z Fold 3 did well too, outshining its sister the Samsung Galaxy S21 Ultra.
- Our domestic2022 forecasts for the upcoming Galaxy Z 4 Series foldableshave just been updated, and we see them performing similarly to the Galaxy S22 Series and iPhone 14 Series. In South Korea at least, foldable smartphones have officially arrived.
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# of Months to 1m Unit Sales, Korea
Model | Months | 年代tarting Price* | Launch Date |
Galaxy S10 5G | 2 | $1,299 | Apr-19 |
Galaxy Note 9 | 3 | $1,000 | Aug-18 |
Galaxy Z Flip 3 5G | 4 | $999 | Aug-21 |
Galaxy Note 10 Plus 5G | 4 | $1,300 | Aug-19 |
Galaxy S21 5G | 5 | 799美元 | jan 21 |
Galaxy Note 10 5G | 5 | $950 | Aug-19 |
Galaxy A31 | 7 | 300美元 | May-20 |
Galaxy Note 20 5G | 8 | $999 | Aug-20 |
Galaxy A32 | 9 | $330 | Mar-21 |
Galaxy Note 20 Ultra 5G | 10 | $1,300 | Aug-20 |
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Monthly Market Pulse, February 2022| 4月3日
The Ceiling’s the Limit
- After 16 months of >50% volume share, iPhone sales in the US dipped below the halfway mark for the first time since September 2020.
- A combination of factors – seasonality, slowing sales of older iPhones, Samsung Galaxy S22 pre-orders, Motorola outperformance – contributed to the dip.
- But looking at the chart, the triple peaks suggest Apple is meeting resistance – perhaps iOS has been testing the ceiling in the US.
- Luckily, the company is already exploring ways to grow laterally – recent headlines onApple’s hardware leasing and financial servicesreflect how the company plans to broaden revenue sources while sticking to its core of improving customer experience.
- OurMarket Pulseanalysis shows similar dynamics in other developed markets so we expect Apple to expand financial services across devices, segments and regions.